If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...
Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.
Is the US labor market in the calm before the storm? Economists say the Beveridge curve is the signal to watch.
The major market averages soared yesterday on recognition that the labor market is not deteriorating to the alarming degree that was assumed following last week’s jobs report for June. Initial ...
Indicators like GDP and unemployment show the economy remains intact. But forward-looking indicators continue to point to an imminent downturn. We've compiled 14 charts that show why investors should ...
The U.S. Treasury yield curve entered an unprecedented state this week, with one-month yields rising above three-month yields for the first time since the subprime mortgage crisis, due to investors' ...
One of the enduring puzzles of the current economic strength is how little impact the Fed’s rate hikes seemed to have caused — not generating the recession or crisis that every previous hiking cycle ...
The U.S. stock market seems to be casting aside worries that President Donald Trump’s tariffs risk causing a recession. “Forward earnings expectations remain remarkably resilient notwithstanding ...
US consumer confidence dropped more than expected in August, the Conference Board said. The fall was the biggest in two years amid persistent inflation and labor market concerns. These three charts ...
President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the administration's ...