By operating in the gray zone, states preserve escalation optionality, avoid reputation-locking commitments, and retain the ability to shift posture without incurring sudden political or strategic ...

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Introduction After the WHO prequalified the first vaccine against mpox, we aimed to identify the influence of vaccine ...

This important study introduces a new biology-informed strategy for deep learning models aiming to predict mutational effects in antibody sequences. It provides solid evidence that separating ...

Abstract: To specify a Bayesian network, a local distribution in the form of a conditional probability table, often of an effect conditioned on its n causes, needs to be acquired, one for each ...

Objectives In patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), severe exacerbations (ECOPDs) impose significant morbidity and mortality. Current guidelines emphasise using ECOPD history to ...

Discover how emotional biases impact stock market crash estimates. See why expert analysis suggests lower risk and learn how to refine your own forecasts.

Two playoff byes, four division titles and 13 of the 14 postseason seeds will be secured in Week 18. Ali Bhanpuri breaks down ...

Abstract: The “leaky noisy-OR” function is a common and popular method used to simplify the elicitation of complex conditional probability tables in Bayesian networks involving Boolean variables. It ...

Discover why options market data suggests a lower crash risk for U.S. stocks than pundit surveys, and how to optimize asset allocation for better returns.

Will Kenton is an expert on the economy and investing laws and regulations. He previously held senior editorial roles at Investopedia and Kapitall Wire and holds a MA in Economics from The New School ...