About 90% of Kalshi's volume has come from sports contracts in recent months. In late 2024, prediction markets seemed poised to take over the world. Thanks to a big win in a court case against the ...

The Economist’s model of America’s congressional elections estimates both major parties’ chances of winning each House and Senate race, and of controlling each legislative chamber. The forecast ...

Welcome to the first referendum on Donald Trump’s presidency: Election night 2025. For most of this year, the only evidence that public opinion has turned against Trump was an occasional special ...

(Bloomberg) -- The trading volume on the leading prediction markets platforms, Polymarket and Kalshi, has hit a new record high, surpassing the previous peak reached during the US presidential ...

Prediction markets have grown rapidly, enabling wagers on a variety of subjects, including politics and sports. Their rise has not gone unopposed. Prediction markets have surged, especially post-2024 ...

Democrats want to regain control of the chamber, and they have recruited some top candidates. But they are facing a tough map ...

For the most part, voting patterns across demographic groups in the 2024 presidential election were not substantially different from the 2020 and 2016 elections. But Donald Trump’s gains among several ...

Tennessee’s Seventh District was created to be safely Republican, but in recent special elections across the country Democrats have done significantly better than they did in 2024. By Christine Zhang ...

Republicans will head into 2026 facing a chance of losing control of the House, despite a gerrymandering effort.